How Low Can Donald Trump’s Approval Rating Go?

“Those people would say, if you ask them, ‘Hey, how do you like the presidency from the guy that’s, like, increasing your oil prices and maybe sending your son to war?’ And they’d be like, ‘Oh, yeah, I don’t like that,’” explained Morris. “But then you ask them who they’ll vote for, it’s like, ‘Well, I typically vote for Republicans, so I’ll probably vote for Republicans downballot, as long as their name is not Donald J. Trump.’”

Some recent polling has shown that the Democratic Party has even less support among voters than Trump. A March NBC News survey found that only 30 percent of registered voters say they have positive feelings about Democrats. So even if Trump is losing ground among Republican skeptics and independents, don’t expect “soft disapprovers” to vote for Democrats in the upcoming midterms.

“What we know about American political psychology is that your partisan label is the most powerful predictor of how you vote, even when general conditions are turning against the president,” said Morris.